Your new iPhone is going to get stolen unless you watch your window like a nerd.

Tyler Lacoma from CNET discussing how criminals are stealing iPhones this holiday season:

They follow package deliveries and nab the shipment the moment it's dropped off. In most cases, these thieves run up and grab a package from a porch or doorstep only seconds after the delivery person leaves.

Reports indicate that these thefts are frequently occurring with AT&T iPhone purchases and FedEx deliveries, although the details can vary.

Across the United States, especially on the East Coast. Cases have been reported in New York, Massachusetts, Florida, Texas, Virginia, Georgia, Pennsylvania and other states. In some cases teens and young adults have been apprehended and accused of stealing these packages, while in other cases the thieves have not been caught.

How are thieves able to do this?

Two important reasons. First, these thieves are somehow getting tracking numbers or similar tracking information for iPhone deliveries, so they get real-time updates about when and where packages are delivered, allowing them to swoop in the moment the package status changes.

Second, AT&T is one of the few telecom companies that -- in many cases -- doesn't require signatures for high-value deliveries like iPhones. That allows thieves to steal packages when they are left unattended.

Yes, having a signature required is a step in making sure your device isn’t stolen, but I have never been asked for a signature even though UPS requires it too. They just ring the bell (sometimes) and walk away. With their crazy schedules, I doubt any delivery carrier will get signatures to the extent they need to, especially during the holiday season.

Assume you’re at risk regardless of which carrier you’re getting your phone from, not just AT&T.

Your best bet is to be home and have someone watching the window.